# IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION - Page 30 - Politalk.ca

IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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"Right now we're seeing a massive attack. We talked about this. The world isn't ready. No Patriot air defense systems, even with as many batteries as the Middle East has, could withstand the number of Shaheds that Ukraine handles today. Why? Well, because 300, 500 is just impossible. There aren't that many missiles. Yes, Middle Eastern countries are wealthy, they have stockpiles, they have a lot, but eventually it all runs out. And how many PAC-3 anti-ballistic missiles are produced worldwide? 50-60 per month are produced in the United States. The largest primary manufacturer of these missiles. So this is a serious challenge. We need different weapons, we need to know how aviation fights drones, the experience that Ukrainians have. We need mobile fire groups, interceptor drones, the right systems and systems - what we have, - we change systems every six months, well, problems arise every year or two, and sometimes every three months at certain facilities - electronic systems, electronic warfare, radio-electronic warfare. Who in peacetime in the relevant countries we're talking about, who will be changing electronic warfare systems every six months? No one will. Of course, today they work, but in six months with new technologies, they no longer work. A very, very big challenge", - Zelenskyy on Mon, Mar 2nd

The gulf states planned and paid for missile interceptors, not cheap drones.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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🔹CENTCOM confirms that U.S. strikes on Iranian missile bases used B-1 bombers. The U.S. is trying to dismantle Iran’s fortified underground missile facilities.

🔹Iranian reports suggest Tehran has rejected multiple mediation attempts. Tehran’s apparent assessment is that it can sustain high-intensity conflict for 60-90 days, making early ceasefire acceptance strategically disadvantageous.

🔹Ali Larijani explicitly framed the war as a contest of endurance, stating Iran – unlike the United States – is prepared for a prolonged conflict. The objective appears to be altering Washington’s cost-benefit calculations over time.

🔹Iranian strategic discourse increasingly describes the conflict as a “war without rules” or a “game without red lines,” signaling deliberate unpredictability intended to reshape deterrence dynamics after leadership decapitation failed to halt Iran’s response.

🔹A related concept emerging in Iranian messaging is operating “one level above” adversary actions, i.e., delivering escalatory responses even to indirect threats in order to redefine escalation thresholds.

🔹This logic appears reflected in Iranian strikes toward British facilities in Cyprus, interpreted domestically as retaliation for London allowing U.S. access to Diego Garcia despite not joining offensive operations.

🔹One of the most consequential developments was the loss of three U.S. F-15 aircraft, initially claimed by Iran as shootdowns but later attributed to friendly fire from Kuwaiti air defenses, highlighting the growing risks of coalition battlefield congestion.

🔹Analysts close to Iranian security circles describe a layered missile strategy: first targeting radar systems, then launching low-cost drones and missiles to exhaust air-defense interceptors before deploying advanced weapons later.

🔹Iran’s continuous missile launches therefore appear designed less for immediate damage and more for attritional depletion of U.S. and Israeli defensive systems over time.

🔹Uncertainty over the size and dispersal of Iran’s advanced missile stockpiles may explain intensified U.S. and Israeli strikes against underground facilities and missile infrastructure.

🔹President Pezeshkian expanded emergency authorities across ministries and provincial administrations to ensure continuity of governance, deepening wartime decentralization already initiated before the conflict.

🔹Israel’s targeting pattern has become clearer: strikes now heavily focus on intelligence ministries, police headquarters, IRGC district bases, and internal security institutions, suggesting systematic erosion of regime coercive capacity.

🔹Parallel strikes against western border regions and Kurdistan province have fueled Iranian fears that external actors may seek to enable insurgent infiltration as an alternative to direct ground invasion.

🔹Iran has responded by striking areas in Iraqi Kurdistan while increasing pressure along its borders, indicating concern about a potential indirect ground dimension to the war.

🔹Iran-aligned Iraqi resistance factions – including Kataib Hezbollah, Harakat al-Nujaba, and Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada – continue their operations on a limited scale, opening another attritional front against U.S. forces.

🔹Hezbollah formally confirmed its participation, firing rockets toward Haifa, though involvement remains limited due to degraded capabilities and domestic political constraints in Lebanon.

🔹Iranian sources claim prewar coordination between the Quds Force and regional partners defined phased entry into the conflict, suggesting activation of the “axis of resistance” is proceeding gradually rather than simultaneously.

🔹The IRGC has reportedly begun enforcing a de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, warning commercial vessels against transit and threatening missile strikes. This is a major escalation targeting global energy flows.

🔹Simultaneous attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure, including an Aramco facility near Ras Tanura and gas infrastructure in Qatar, indicate an effort to raise global energy prices and increase economic pressure on Washington.

🔹Iranian authorities signaled zero tolerance for dissent. IRGC intelligence warned that actions undermining stability during wartime would be treated as collaboration with the enemy, implying harsh internal repression.

🔹Negotiation signals remain contradictory. While Trump suggested a potential deal was possible, Larijani publicly rejected negotiations, reinforcing Tehran’s view that talks can occur only after strategic calculations shift.

🔹Iran’s sustained missile tempo against Israel appears designed to impose psychological as well as military pressure, keeping populations under prolonged shelter conditions while conserving firepower for a longer conflict.

🔹Overall, Day 3 shows the war evolving into simultaneous military, economic, psychological, and regional escalation far beyond bilateral confrontation.

🔹The key question now is whether expanding proxy involvement and energy warfare will force external powers into deeper participation or instead accelerate pressure for negotiated containment.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
User avatar
Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Maga elites have already soured on this farce. shitler doesn't need maga they will be left holding the bag when the blowback happens and they will reap the whirlwind of sleeper cells, loss of reserve currency, depleted white elephant military that is expensive to maintain and will have few smart munitions that make it work, no ability to project power because shitler has pissed off all the allies around the world. no international visitors and trade will be with everyone else but the US. There is no redemption for this.

This is your bed America, you made it now sleep well.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Outsourcing of US foreign policy: The speaker suggests that the US might be outsourcing its foreign policy to Israel, with European countries following suit.
Rubio's justification for war: Rubio claimed an "imminent threat" from Iran, stating that if Israel attacked Iran, Iran would retaliate against the US, leading to more casualties if the US didn't act preemptively. The speaker views this as a self-contradictory argument, implying the US would only be threatened if it attacked first.
True reasons for war: The speaker argues that the real reasons for the conflict are Benjamin Netanyahu's desire for it and Donald Trump's impulsivity and desire to play "war president" for an "adrenaline hit".
Trump's motivations: The speaker attributes Trump's actions to his narcissistic personality disorder and neurodiverse traits, suggesting he seeks physiological and emotional rewards from such actions rather than operating on good or bad ideas
Unclear outcomes: The speaker notes that Trump is starting to realize the unclear consequences of his actions, which might lead him to become more "sober" in his public presentations
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
User avatar
Dr Strangelove
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Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm

Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

Post by Dr Strangelove »

It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
User avatar
Dr Strangelove
Posts: 11249
Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm

Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Even after the purge the brass are still not foolish enough to sign off on this debacle. There are no adults left in the room to guide the discussion at all. There is only the impact of reality.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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