IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
- Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance
- Dr Strangelove
- Posts: 12777
- Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm
Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
US Naval Transit: On April 11, 2026, two US Navy destroyers, the USS Frank E. Peterson (DDG-121) and the USS Michael Murphy (DDG-112), transited the Strait of Hormuz into the Persian Gulf (0:44-1:15). This move is part of a mission to clear sea mines potentially laid by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and to secure the internationally recognized shipping channel (1:17-1:45).
Contested Shipping Lanes: The video highlights that Iran has attempted to alter traffic separation schemes to force commercial vessels into their own territorial waters (3:20-4:35). The US mission aims to challenge this effort and reopen the legal international channel (1:30-1:45).
Shifting Logistics: Due to the six-week disruption in the region, global shipping patterns have changed. Many empty Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) are being rerouted away from the Persian Gulf toward ports in the Americas and Africa to secure oil, leading to significantly longer voyages and increased ton-miles for energy transport (9:55-11:15).
Long-term Impact: The host cautions that even with US destroyers entering the area, the disruption will take a considerable amount of time to resolve—estimating potentially up to 40 weeks to fully reset the supply chain
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance
- Dr Strangelove
- Posts: 12777
- Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm
Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance
- Dr Strangelove
- Posts: 12777
- Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm
Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance
- Dr Strangelove
- Posts: 12777
- Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm
Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
Status of Negotiations (0:00 - 1:49): Both delegations entered the talks with significant leverage, leading to a strategic stalemate. Vice President Vance noted that while discussions were substantive, no deal was reached, and he emphasized that the lack of agreement presents a greater challenge for Iran.
Iranian Perspective (1:49 - 3:06): The Iranian delegation highlighted a lack of trust in the United States, citing past experiences where negotiations were followed by conflict. They maintain that they have not been defeated and are capable of dictating terms.
Core Sticking Points (3:06 - 5:11): Per reporting, the primary issues include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the fate of nearly 900 pounds of highly enriched uranium, and Iran’s demand for the release of approximately $27 billion in frozen revenues.
Strategic Recalibration (5:11 - 8:07): Experts suggest that the U.S. strategy of applying kinetic pressure to force concessions has not yielded the expected results, as Iran’s self-perception of its position differs significantly from Washington's assessments. There is a growing consensus that the U.S. needs a more sober strategy to avoid further escalation.
Naval Blockade Announcement (8:07 - 10:46): Following the stall in talks, President Trump has announced that the U.S. Navy will begin a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This move, which may involve boarding vessels to intercept those that have paid tolls to Iran, marks a significant shift in U.S. strategy as the current ceasefire nears its end.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance
- Dr Strangelove
- Posts: 12777
- Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm
Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
Cynicism is acceptance