# IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION - Page 105 - Politalk.ca

IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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😬 After the U.S. launched major overnight strikes on Iran in response to the downing of an American helicopter, Donald Trump reacted by sharing a clip from The West Wing

According to Iran’s Fars news agency, explosions were reported in Kohestak, Sirik, and Minab.

The U.S. president shared a scene from an episode titled “A Proportional Response,” in which the fictional president rejects the idea of responding in kind.

💬 “If you kill an American, any American, we don't come back with a proportional response. We come back with total disaster.”
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Escalation in the Strait of Hormuz: Despite promises of an imminent ceasefire, tensions spiked when a U.S. AH-64 Apache was downed near the Strait of Hormuz (0:39-0:47). While the pilots were rescued by an autonomous maritime drone (0:47-0:55), the incident prompted retaliatory strikes from U.S. CENTCOM against Iran (0:55-1:02).
Retaliation: In response to these strikes, Iran launched its own military actions against U.S.-aligned targets in Bahrain, Jordan, and Kuwait, with its foreign minister issuing a warning for the U.S. to leave the region (1:38-2:01).
Political Motivations: The video speculates that President Trump may have ordered the strikes partly due to frustration over Netanyahu disregarding his directions, suggesting the action was intended to project strength and authority (1:02-1:38).
Vance’s Predictions and the "WMD" Narrative:
Conflicting Statements: JD Vance recently stated that a deal with Iran could materialize within weeks or months, emphasizing his confidence that it would be achieved before the midterms (2:03-2:27).
Long-term Concerns: Vance claims these negotiations will address Iran’s nuclear program for the long term (2:51-3:21). However, the video questions this narrative, noting that Iran has historically denied pursuing nuclear weapons and that U.S. intelligence has found no evidence of active programs in recent decades (3:21-3:44).
Analysis: The narrator argues that the administration is repeating past patterns of chasing "fictional" threats, suggesting that current policies are driven more by Trump’s ego—specifically his desire to surpass the previous Obama-era deal—rather than genuine American safety (3:44-4:11).
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
Posts: 14256
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
Posts: 14256
Joined: Wed May 08, 2024 4:50 pm

Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
Posts: 14256
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Military Strikes and Rhetoric: The administration is pursuing nightly strikes against Iran, with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth stating the U.S. will "negotiate with bombs" (0:22). This follows conflicting reports about the status of Iran's military facilities (0:36-0:50).
Escalation and Incidents: The video highlights that despite the strikes, the conflict continues, including the death of three Indian sailors (1:22) and retaliatory missile strikes by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard against U.S. assets in Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain (1:34-1:56).
International Relations: There is a critique of the administration's belief that China would not provide military support to Iran. The video notes that China is utilizing intermediaries, such as the Belarus-based Armory Alliance, to supply weapons, undermining the administration's claims of diplomatic success (2:20-3:56).
Recent Developments: President Trump announced a cancellation of planned strikes, citing discussions with Iranian leadership (4:47-5:06), though Iran has suggested a deal is only being considered (5:12).
Oil and Domestic Messaging: The video addresses Trump's claim of a "secret mission" regarding oil shipments, suggesting it may be a distraction from negative economic reports (5:21-5:50).
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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The U.S. Strategy and the Strait of Hormuz

The United States is seeking a diplomatic exit strategy to end the conflict with Iran (4:54). While America is energy-independent due to fracking, its allies in Europe and Asia remain vulnerable to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz (2:13-3:08).
Trump aims to stabilize energy markets and reopen the strait, viewing a deal as a way to avoid a prolonged crisis that could mirror the Suez Crisis of 1956 and undermine U.S. power projection (3:40-4:48).
Israel’s Strategic Concerns

The Israeli government, led by Netanyahu, views a potential U.S.-Iran deal as an existential threat (5:02-5:17). Israel fears that a deal will allow Iran to remain a "threshold nuclear state," eventually rebuild its economy and military, and grow into an "untouchable" power (10:02-15:18).
Israel suffers from a lack of strategic depth (15:26-16:45). Its narrow geography makes it highly sensitive to security threats, forcing the state to prioritize preemptive military action to maintain its defense (17:38-18:35).
Rising Tensions and the "Endgame"

The video highlights the recent escalation on June 8th, where Iran and Israel exchanged direct fire following an Israeli strike on Beirut (20:45-21:19). This incident demonstrated how volatile the region remains and how Iran is signaling that the Lebanon and Iran fronts are intrinsically connected (21:54-22:47).
As the U.S. moves toward a memorandum of understanding, Israel is exploring ways to influence or disrupt the process—whether through increased intelligence gathering, heightened pressure on Iranian proxies, or lobbying in Washington—to prevent what it sees as a long-term strategic defeat (24:06-25:13).
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Pakistan PM: Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

The official signing ceremony will be on Friday, 19 June in Switzerland.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Trump says deal reached with Iran and he has authorized the naval blockade to leave Strait of Hormuz
What the deal includes (based on current reporting)
Immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon.

Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to global commercial traffic.

Official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland, mediated by Pakistan.

Iranian officials have not yet issued detailed public comments, and it remains unclear whether Israel will halt its operations in Lebanon.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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