# IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION - Page 108 - Politalk.ca

IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Let's be honest,the Iranian delegation's performance in Switzerland was a masterclass in psychological and diplomatic leverage.
They arrived on their own terms, made the Americans wait, refused even the symbolic gesture of a handshake, held firm to their demands, and walked away the moment they usual threats from Donald Trump entered the conversation.
In doing so, they projected confidence while exposing the American desperation and weakness.

What stands out is the Persians' sophisticated understanding of symbolism and strategy.
Every move is calculated, every gesture deliberate, as though they are several moves ahead in a chess match while their counterparts is struggling to keep up.

The result is a striking contrast: Iran is composed, disciplined, and in control, while the United States is reactive and outmaneuvered.
It is becoming increasingly difficult to deny the fact that Iran has now emerged as one of the most influential and formidable powers in the Middle East......
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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The Nature of the MOU: The agreement is characterized not as a formal peace treaty, but as a "memorandum of understanding" (0:53) meant to establish a 60-day ceasefire and a framework for future negotiations (0:26). It includes economic sweeteners for Iran, such as the removal of the US naval blockade and the easing of oil export sanctions (15:24, 15:44).
Contingent Peace: A major critique is that the agreement is an "agreement to agree" (26:09). Many critical issues—such as specific limitations on Iran’s nuclear stockpile, future oversight of the Strait of Hormuz, and the release of frozen assets—remain to be negotiated in the coming 60 days (26:40).
Strategic Winners and Losers:
Israel: Viewed as a significant strategic loser, Israel was reportedly kept out of the loop during negotiations and is now facing an agreement that may limit its ability to take future military action against Hezbollah or Iran (38:42, 41:29).
China: Potentially benefits from the stabilization of energy markets and the prospect of renewed access to Iranian energy supplies (48:00, 48:36).
Russia: While the high energy prices caused by the conflict were a windfall for Moscow, a successful, permanent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz leading to global oil oversupply could negatively impact the Russian economy (50:14, 52:13).
Instability: The ceasefire is described as highly precarious (28:04). The video notes that the IRGC has already challenged aspects of the Strait of Hormuz transit terms (28:29), and the lack of signatures from regional proxies and other involved nations makes the broader stability of the region uncertain (9:55).
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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Diplomatic Sabotage (0:58 - 2:05): Despite a memorandum of understanding to cease military operations and threats, Trump has continued to make aggressive public statements, including threats to attack Iran and target negotiators directly, which nearly caused the Iranian delegation to abandon the talks.
Contradictory Narratives (2:18 - 3:07): JD Vance has attempted to frame the talks as successful, claiming a "major milestone" regarding UN inspections. However, these claims have been contradicted by the Iranian foreign ministry, which asserts that no new nuclear commitments were made.
Economic Concessions and Conflicts (3:53 - 5:48): The US has issued a 60-day waiver allowing Iranian oil sales. Meanwhile, the administration is struggling to implement restrictions on how Iran uses unfrozen assets, with Vance suggesting these funds should be used to buy American products—a requirement not in the original agreement.
The "Strait of Hormuz" Tension (3:33 - 4:04, 6:59 - 7:48): Keeping this shipping lane open remains a critical, unresolved friction point. Trump has suggested the US might impose tolls, leading to sharp rebukes from Iranian officials.
Future Outlook (8:43 - 10:15): The video argues that because the deal was born from a position where Trump felt he lacked leverage, it remains deeply flawed. The author predicts a looming crisis as Iran continues to fund regional proxies and maintains its broader geopolitical objectives, regardless of these unstable negotiations.


At every turn Iran has outplayed Trump by just keeping their mouths SHUT and letting that buffoon to do all the hard work for them. They can outlast him because the world economy will crash to levels Iran has been living in for the last 40 years so for them it will be no loss. Meanwhile Israel is only going to be brought to heel if the US cuts them off of all aid unless they leave Lebanon NOW. No one expects that to be done before the crash in a few weeks.
It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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Dr Strangelove
Posts: 14430
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Re: IRANIAN CITIES BURN AMID REBELLION

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It can be dangerous to believe things just because you want them to be true. - Sagan
Cynicism is acceptance
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